Market RSI Reversion
Mean reversion · Equity ETFs · Daily · Market order
The rules, in plain English
This version buys oversold dips using market orders. It buys when the 14-day RSI falls below 35 — a sign a move may be stretched — and sells when RSI climbs back above 60. A high win rate does not guarantee a good result, as the published numbers show.
The published backtest
| Total return | +29.1% |
|---|---|
| CAGR (annual growth rate) | +1.03% |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.17 |
| Maximum drawdown (worst peak-to-trough fall) | -16.0% |
| Win rate | 71.6% |
| Profit factor | 1.81 |
| Risk grade (our shorthand, from the published figures) | F |
| Asset class | Equity ETFs |
| Style | Mean reversion |
| Timeframe | Daily · Market order |
| Type | Orders |
— means no figure was published for this strategy. Ungraded and workflow entries publish diagnostics rather than a graded portfolio backtest, so some metrics are not published for them.
Honest verdict
Made money, but cash did better risk-adjusted (negative Sharpe)
This one finished ahead in raw dollars, but its Sharpe ratio was negative — meaning that, after adjusting for the ups and downs taken along the way, cash would have been the better risk-adjusted choice in the published test.
Worst drawdown in the published test: -16.0% — at its lowest point, a follower of this test would have been down that much from the peak before any recovery.
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Attribution: strategy and published backtest results from the QuantJourney open-source library (Apache-2.0), via quants.md — published backtest results by QuantJourney, reproduced with attribution. Results are hypothetical backtest results based on historical data; they are not live trading results and do not guarantee future performance. Educational content only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.