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W16 · WeightsGrade F

Cross-Sectional Reversal (L/S)

Mean reversion · Market neutral · Equity ETFs · Daily

The rules, in plain English

This is the opposite bet to momentum: each week it buys last month's losers and shorts last month's winners, expecting a short-term reversal. Reversal and momentum can both sound convincing, which is exactly why testing matters. In the published backtest this one lost a small amount of money.

The published backtest

Total return-1.7%
CAGR (annual growth rate)-0.07%
Sharpe ratio-0.24
Maximum drawdown (worst peak-to-trough fall)-33.7%
Win rate47.5%
Profit factor1.00
Risk grade (our shorthand, from the published figures)F
Asset classEquity ETFs
StyleMean reversion · Market neutral
TimeframeDaily
TypeWeights

— means no figure was published for this strategy. Ungraded and workflow entries publish diagnostics rather than a graded portfolio backtest, so some metrics are not published for them.

Honest verdict

Lost money in backtest

Plainly: this one lost money in its published backtest. Whatever the appeal of the idea, the published test ended with less money than it started with — so as tested, it did not work.

Worst drawdown in the published test: -33.7% — at its lowest point, a follower of this test would have been down that much from the peak before any recovery.

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Attribution: strategy and published backtest results from the QuantJourney open-source library (Apache-2.0), via quants.md — published backtest results by QuantJourney, reproduced with attribution. Results are hypothetical backtest results based on historical data; they are not live trading results and do not guarantee future performance. Educational content only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.