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W18 · WeightsGrade C

Vol-Targeted Momentum

Momentum / Risk-based sizing · Multi-asset · Daily

The rules, in plain English

This does the same volatility scaling for a momentum basket, aiming at a higher 15% volatility target. Its published return was among the strongest in the set. So was its worst drawdown — over 40% — which is the honest price tag attached to that return.

The published backtest

Total return+621.0%
CAGR (annual growth rate)+10.96%
Sharpe ratio0.57
Maximum drawdown (worst peak-to-trough fall)-41.2%
Win rate64.6%
Profit factor2.05
Risk grade (our shorthand, from the published figures)C
Asset classMulti-asset
StyleMomentum / Risk-based sizing
TimeframeDaily
TypeWeights

— means no figure was published for this strategy. Ungraded and workflow entries publish diagnostics rather than a graded portfolio backtest, so some metrics are not published for them.

Honest verdict

Held up

This one made money in its published backtest, but modestly for the risk taken — look at the Sharpe ratio and the worst drawdown together before forming any opinion.

Worst drawdown in the published test: -41.2% — at its lowest point, a follower of this test would have been down that much from the peak before any recovery.

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Attribution: strategy and published backtest results from the QuantJourney open-source library (Apache-2.0), via quants.md — published backtest results by QuantJourney, reproduced with attribution. Results are hypothetical backtest results based on historical data; they are not live trading results and do not guarantee future performance. Educational content only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.