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W20 · WeightsGrade D

Risk Parity + Position Cap

Risk-based sizing · Equity ETFs · Daily

The rules, in plain English

This runs risk parity across sector funds, then chains on a hard cap: no single position may exceed 25%. The cap stops the maths from concentrating the portfolio in one calm-looking sector. Its published profit factor was unusually high and its drawdown was also the deepest in the set — both numbers deserve scepticism and respect at once.

The published backtest

Total return+677.0%
CAGR (annual growth rate)+8.21%
Sharpe ratio0.45
Maximum drawdown (worst peak-to-trough fall)-47.9%
Win rate82.0%
Profit factor11.14
Risk grade (our shorthand, from the published figures)D
Asset classEquity ETFs
StyleRisk-based sizing
TimeframeDaily
TypeWeights

— means no figure was published for this strategy. Ungraded and workflow entries publish diagnostics rather than a graded portfolio backtest, so some metrics are not published for them.

Honest verdict

Held up

This one made money in its published backtest, but modestly for the risk taken — look at the Sharpe ratio and the worst drawdown together before forming any opinion.

Worst drawdown in the published test: -47.9% — at its lowest point, a follower of this test would have been down that much from the peak before any recovery.

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Attribution: strategy and published backtest results from the QuantJourney open-source library (Apache-2.0), via quants.md — published backtest results by QuantJourney, reproduced with attribution. Results are hypothetical backtest results based on historical data; they are not live trading results and do not guarantee future performance. Educational content only — not financial advice, and not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.